This is a tough one to think about. I like to stay positive, but I can’t help noticing that it’s getting harder and harder to do outdoor events, due to changes in the climate. One of the things that climate change brings is more instability in the atmosphere. I’ve noticed that that can make weather prediction trickier.
I’m no meteorologist, but watching the weather has been a hobby of mine for a very long time. I enjoy looking at the weather radar maps and at the weather forecast maps, and making my own predictions about future conditions. Up until recently, I was pretty accurate. Given enough information, I could make a good call on whether a given event was going to be able to be outside, or not.
On a recent weekend, I had two outdoor weddings on a Saturday. I’m used to being able to make a weather call 24-48 hours before an event. Well, that didn’t work this time. Starting about 36 hours before the event, the weather forecast changed drastically about every six hours. First, it was a high chance of rain; then a low chance; then back to a high likelihood; and then low again. The only thing that wasn’t predicted was what happened: clear skies and sunny. (I guess that falls under “very low chance of rain”??)
One wedding that day had to make their rain call the day before, when it looked like there would almost definitely be rain. They had the wedding indoors, even though the day was gorgeous. The other wedding didn’t have to make the call until about 3 hours before the ceremony time. By that time, it was a pretty sure thing that it was not going to rain, so they managed to have their ceremony outdoors.
So, if you’re planning a wedding, or any other outdoor event, just be sure to have a solid rain plan, and be ready to use it at a moment’s notice. It seems that there are times when it may be hard to tell what is going to happen.
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